Simon Fraser University

Preliminary Autoregressive Models

After computing the sample autocovariance matrices, PROC STATESPACE fits a sequence of vector autoregressive models. These preliminary autoregressive models are used to estimate the autoregressive ...
International Monetary Fund

Probabilistic Sustainability of Public Debt: A Vector Autoregression Approach for Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey

Abstract: This paper examines the sustainability of fiscal policy under uncertainty in three emerging market countries—Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey. For each country, we estimate a vector autoregression ...
International Monetary Fund

Global Financial Transmission into Sub-Saharan Africa – A Global Vector Autoregression Analysis

Sub-Saharan African countries are exposed to spillovers from global financial variables, but the impact on economic activity is more significant in more financially developed economies. Generalized ...
Insurancenewsnet.com

Kwansei Gakuin University Researcher Provides New Study Findings on Risk Management (A Hybrid Model for Forecasting Realized Volatility Based on Heterogeneous Autoregressive ...

2024 FEB 06 (NewsRx) -- By a News Reporter-Staff News Editor at Insurance Daily News-- Investigators publish new report on risk management. According to news originating from Hyogo, Japan, by NewsRx ...
Risk

Systemic risk and the sovereign-bank default nexus: a network vector autoregression approach

Using the generalized value-at-risk method of Diebold and Yilmaz in their 2009 paper "Measuring financial asset return and volatility spillovers, with application to global equity markets" to measure ...
Risk

Decomposing supply shocks in the US electricity industry: evidence from a time-varying Bayesian panel vector autoregression model

This paper investigates spillovers between electricity supply shocks and US growth, using monthly data from forty-eight US states from January 2001 to September 2016, and employs a novel strategy for ...